How Tariffs Are Expected to Impact New Home Construction and Sales

The recent implementation of new tariffs on imported goods is projected to significantly impact the U.S. housing market, particularly new home construction. These tariffs have raised the effective tax rate on all imports to 26%, up from 2.3%, affecting a broad range of construction materials. Impact on New Home Construction Costs The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) estimates that these tariffs will increase the cost of building a new home by approximately $9,200. This increase stems from higher imported steel, aluminum, and appliance prices. Although Canadian lumber comprises 72% of U.S. imported lumber and was exempted from the new tariffs, it still carries a 14.5% duty from previous regulations. Other critical imports like fixtures and flooring from countries such as China, Malaysia, and Indonesia face steep tariffs, with rates as high as 54%, 24%, and 32%, respectively. These increased costs are likely to be passed on to homebuyers, potentially exacerbating affordability challenges, especially in states with a higher proportion of new constructions like Idaho, North Carolina, Delaware, Utah, and Nebraska. Homebuilders’ Strategies to Attract Buyers In response to rising construction costs and potential declines in buyer demand, homebuilders are adopting several strategies to attract home shoppers: Price Reductions and Incentives: Some builders are reducing home prices and offering various incentives to stimulate sales. For instance, 30% of builders reduced home prices in March, up from 26% in February, with an average price reduction of 5%. Additionally, 59% of builders are employing sales incentives to attract buyers. Building Smaller Homes: To offset increased material costs, some builders are constructing smaller homes that require fewer resources and can be offered at lower prices. This approach aims to maintain affordability for buyers while managing construction expenses. Exploring Alternative Materials and Suppliers: Builders are seeking alternative materials and suppliers to mitigate the impact of tariffs. This includes sourcing domestically produced materials or exploring new supply chains to reduce reliance on heavily tariffed imports. Advocating for Policy Changes: The NAHB is actively working to roll back tariffs on building materials, boost sawmill production, and increase the domestic timber supply from federally owned lands in an environmentally responsible manner. These efforts aim to address the root causes of rising construction costs and improve housing affordability.